Development and validation of a metastasis-associated prognostic signature based on single-cell RNA-seq in clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) was recently adopted for deciphering intratumoral heterogeneity across cell sub-populations, including clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Here, we characterized the single-cell expression profiling of 121 cell samples and found 44 metastasis-associated marker genes. Accordingly, we trained and validated 17 pivotal metastasis-associated genes (MAGs) in 626 patients incorporating internal and external cohorts to evaluate the model for predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Correlation analysis revealed that the MAGs correlated significantly with several risk clinical characteristics. Moreover, we conducted Cox regression analysis integrating these independent clinical variables into a MAGs nomogram with superior accuracy in predicting progression events. We further revealed the differential landscape of somatic tumor mutation burden (TMB) between two nomogram-score groups and observed that TMB was also a prognostic biomarker; patients with high MAGs-nomogram scores suffered from a higher TMB, potentially leading to worse prognosis. Last, higher MAGs-nomogram scores correlated with the upregulation of oxidative phosphorylation, the Wnt signaling pathway, and MAPK signaling crosstalk in ccRCC. Overall, we constructed the robust MAGs through scRNA-seq and validated the model in a large patient population, which was valuable for prognostic stratification and providing potential targets against metastatic ccRCC.