Ablative Margins of Colorectal Liver Metastases Using Deformable CT Image Registration and Autosegmentation

Background: Confirming ablation completeness with sufficient ablative margin is critical for local tumor control following colorectal liver metastasis (CLM) ablation. An image-based confirmation method considering patient- and ablation-related biomechanical deformation is an unmet need. Purpose: To evaluate a biomechanical deformable image registration (DIR) method for three-dimensional (3D) minimal ablative margin (MAM) quantification and the association with local disease progression following CT-guided CLM ablation. Materials and Methods: This single-institution retrospective study included patients with CLM treated with CT-guided microwave or radiofrequency ablation from October 2015 to March 2020. A biomechanical DIR method with AI-based autosegmentation of liver, tumors, and ablation zones on CT images was applied for MAM quantification retrospectively. The per-tumor incidence of local disease progression was defined as residual tumor or local tumor progression. Factors associated with local disease progression were evaluated using the multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model. Local disease progression sites were spatially localized with the tissue at risk for tumor progression (<5 mm) using a 3D ray-tracing method. Results: Overall, 213 ablated CLMs (mean diameter, 1.4 cm) in 124 consecutive patients (mean age, 57 years ± 12 [SD]; 69 women) were evaluated, with a median follow-up interval of 25.8 months. In ablated CLMs, an MAM of 0 mm was depicted in 14.6% (31 of 213), from greater than 0 to less than 5 mm in 40.4% (86 of 213), and greater than or equal to 5 mm in 45.1% (96 of 213). The 2-year cumulative incidence of local disease progression was 72% for 0 mm and 12% for greater than 0 to less than 5 mm. No local disease progression was observed for an MAM greater than or equal to 5 mm. Among 117 tumors with an MAM less than 5 mm, 36 had local disease progression and 30 were spatially localized within the tissue at risk for tumor progression. On multivariable analysis, an MAM of 0 mm (subdistribution hazard ratio, 23.3; 95% CI: 10.8, 50.5; P < .001) was independently associated with local disease progression. Conclusion: Biomechanical deformable image registration and autosegmentation on CT images enabled identification and spatial localization of colorectal liver metastases at risk for local disease progression following ablation, with a minimal ablative margin greater than or equal to 5 mm as the optimal end point.