Lung surveillance following colorectal cancer pulmonary metastasectomy: Utilization of clinicopathologic risk factors to guide strategy

Background: Appropriately selected patients clearly benefit from resection of colorectal cancer (CRC) pulmonary metastases (PMs). However, there remains equipoise surrounding optimal chest surveillance strategies following pulmonary metastasectomy. We aimed to identify risk factors that may inform chest surveillance in this population. Methods: Patients who underwent CRC pulmonary metastasectomy were identified from a single institution's prospectively maintained surgical database. Clinicopathologic and genomic characteristics were collected. Patients were stratified by diagnosis of subsequent PM within 6 months of the index lung resection. Multivariate modeling was used to evaluate risk factors. Results: A total of 197 patients met the study's inclusion criteria, of whom 52.3% (n = 103) developed subsequent PM, at a median of 9.51 months following the index metastasectomy. Patients with KRAS alterations (odds ratio [OR], 3.073; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.363-6.926; P = .007), TP53 alterations (OR, 3.109; 95% CI, 1.318-7.341; P = .010) were found to be at risk of PM diagnosis within 6 months of the index metastasectomy, while those with an APC alteration (OR, .218; 95% CI, 0.080-0.598; P = .003) were protected. Moreover, patients who received systemic therapy within 3 months of the initial PM diagnosis also were more likely to develop early lung recurrence (OR, 2.105; 95% CI, 0.971-4.563; P = .059). Conclusions: Patients with KRAS alterations, TP53 alterations, and no APC alterations developed early recurrence in the lung following pulmonary metastasectomy, as did those who received chemotherapy after their initial PM diagnosis. As such, these groups benefit from early lung imaging after metastasectomy, as chest surveillance protocols should be based on patient-centered clinicopathologic and genomic risk factors.