TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of Bone Metastasis in Inflammatory Breast Cancer Using a Markov Chain Model
AU - Fujii, Takeo
AU - Mason, Jeremy
AU - Chen, Angela
AU - Kuhn, Peter
AU - Woodward, Wendy A.
AU - Tripathy, Debu
AU - Newton, Paul K.
AU - Ueno, Naoto T.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© AlphaMed Press 2019
PY - 2019/10/1
Y1 - 2019/10/1
N2 - Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is a rare yet aggressive variant of breast cancer with a high recurrence rate. We hypothesized that patterns of metastasis differ between IBC and non-IBC. We focused on the patterns of bone metastasis throughout disease progression to determine statistical differences that can lead to clinically relevant outcomes. Our primary outcome of this study is to quantify and describe this difference with a view to applying the findings to clinically relevant outcomes for patients. Subjects, Materials, and Methods: We retrospectively collected data of patients with nonmetastatic IBC (n = 299) and non-IBC (n = 3,436). Probabilities of future site-specific metastases were calculated. Spread patterns were visualized to quantify the most probable metastatic pathways of progression and to categorize spread pattern based on their propensity to subsequent dissemination of cancer. Results: In patients with IBC, the probabilities of developing bone metastasis after chest wall, lung, or liver metastasis as the first site of progression were high: 28%, 21%, and 21%, respectively. For patients with non-IBC, the probability of developing bone metastasis was fairly consistent regardless of initial metastasis site. Conclusion: Metastatic patterns of spread differ between patients with IBC and non-IBC. Selection of patients with IBC with known liver, chest wall, and/or lung metastasis would create a population in whom to investigate effective methods for preventing future bone metastasis. Implications for Practice: This study demonstrated that the patterns of metastasis leading to and following bone metastasis differ significantly between patients with inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) and those with non-IBC. Patients with IBC had a progression pattern that tended toward the development of bone metastasis if they had previously developed metastases in the liver, chest wall, and lung, rather than in other sites. Selection of patients with IBC with known liver, chest wall, and/or lung metastasis would create a population in whom to investigate effective methods for preventing future bone metastasis.
AB - Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is a rare yet aggressive variant of breast cancer with a high recurrence rate. We hypothesized that patterns of metastasis differ between IBC and non-IBC. We focused on the patterns of bone metastasis throughout disease progression to determine statistical differences that can lead to clinically relevant outcomes. Our primary outcome of this study is to quantify and describe this difference with a view to applying the findings to clinically relevant outcomes for patients. Subjects, Materials, and Methods: We retrospectively collected data of patients with nonmetastatic IBC (n = 299) and non-IBC (n = 3,436). Probabilities of future site-specific metastases were calculated. Spread patterns were visualized to quantify the most probable metastatic pathways of progression and to categorize spread pattern based on their propensity to subsequent dissemination of cancer. Results: In patients with IBC, the probabilities of developing bone metastasis after chest wall, lung, or liver metastasis as the first site of progression were high: 28%, 21%, and 21%, respectively. For patients with non-IBC, the probability of developing bone metastasis was fairly consistent regardless of initial metastasis site. Conclusion: Metastatic patterns of spread differ between patients with IBC and non-IBC. Selection of patients with IBC with known liver, chest wall, and/or lung metastasis would create a population in whom to investigate effective methods for preventing future bone metastasis. Implications for Practice: This study demonstrated that the patterns of metastasis leading to and following bone metastasis differ significantly between patients with inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) and those with non-IBC. Patients with IBC had a progression pattern that tended toward the development of bone metastasis if they had previously developed metastases in the liver, chest wall, and lung, rather than in other sites. Selection of patients with IBC with known liver, chest wall, and/or lung metastasis would create a population in whom to investigate effective methods for preventing future bone metastasis.
KW - Bone metastasis
KW - Breast cancer
KW - Inflammatory breast cancer
KW - Markov chain model
KW - Prediction model
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U2 - 10.1634/theoncologist.2018-0713
DO - 10.1634/theoncologist.2018-0713
M3 - Article
C2 - 30952823
AN - SCOPUS:85064012918
SN - 1083-7159
VL - 24
SP - 1322
EP - 1330
JO - Oncologist
JF - Oncologist
IS - 10
ER -