The prognostic value of MEK pathway–associated estrogen receptor signaling activity for female cancers

Background: Other than for breast cancer, endocrine therapy has not been highly effective for gynecologic cancers. Endocrine therapy resistance in estrogen receptor positive gynecologic cancers is still poorly understood. In this retrospective study, we examined the estrogen receptor (ER) signaling pathway activities of breast, ovarian, endometrial, and cervical cancers to identify those that may predict endocrine therapy responsiveness. Methods: Clinical and genomic data of women with breast and gynecological cancers were downloaded from cBioPortal for Cancer Genomics. Estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) expression level and sample-level pathway enrichment scores (EERES) were calculated to classify patients into four groups (low/high ESR1 and low/high EERES). Correlation between ESR1/EERES score and survival was further validated with RNAseq data from low-grade serous ovarian cancer. Pathway analyses were performed among different ESR1/EERES groups to identify genes that correlate with endocrine resistance, which are validated using Cancer Cell Line Encyclopedia gene expression and Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer data. Results: We identified a novel combined prognostic value of ESR1 expression and the corresponding estrogen response signaling (EERES score) for breast cancer. The combined prognostic value (ESR1/EERES) may be applicable to other gynecologic cancers. More importantly, we discovered that ER signaling can cross-regulate MEK pathway activation. We identified downstream genes in the MEK pathway (EPHA2, INAVA, MALL, MPZL2, PCDH1, and TNFRSF21) that are potential endocrine therapy response biomarkers. Conclusion: This study demonstrated that targeting both the ER and the ER signaling activity related MEK pathway may aid the development of endocrine therapy strategies for personalized medicine.